Expect 2020 to see public and private cloud outspend traditional IT infrastructure, says IDC

Revenue for cloud infrastructure equipment dipped a little in the most recent quarter, IDC has argued – yet it is more indicative of a wider IT downturn than a cloud-specific malaise.

The analyst firm, in its latest Worldwide Quarterly Cloud IT Infrastructure Tracker report, found an overall quarterly figure of $16.8 billion (£12.9bn) – a decline of 1.8% year over year. IDC increased its forecast for total 2019 spending to $65.4bn, which represents flat performance.

Public cloud saw something of a hit according to IDC’s figures, with a downturn of 3.7% year over year, albeit seeing $11.9bn in quarterly sales. The analyst notes to expect more quarterly volatility, particularly as the hyperscalers continue to dominate the market, as the overall segment generally trends upwards.

For 2019, public cloud saw minimal change in market share, comprising just over 30% of the overall cloud IT infrastructure market. This is expected to reach almost 40% by 2023. Yet the key figure here is 2020, where IDC expects public and private cloud spending outperform traditional IT. 2019 saw the balance nearly tipped at 49.8% for public and private cloud, although recent quarters (Q319 at 53.4%) saw success.

When it came to specific vendors, Dell Technologies was the best performing in Q3, capturing 15.5% of the market share at $2.62bn revenues. This was a 2.6% downturn on the previous year, with HPE (8% rise, 11% share), Inspur (14.8% rise, 7.2% share) and Cisco (5% rise, 6.7% share) helping to take up the slack. Lenovo, at $723 million, saw a 20.2% yearly downturn to drop to fifth in the market.

Looking at specific geographies, decline was noted in the US, Western Europe, and Latin America. Again, IDC noted, this was related to a general market blip. Asia Pacific – excluding Japan – saw growth of 1.2% year on year, which IDC saw again as flat.

You can find out more about the IDC Worldwide Quarterly Cloud IT Infrastructure Tracker here.

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