{"id":9986,"date":"2014-01-14T12:49:57","date_gmt":"2014-01-14T12:49:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.journeytothecloud.com\/?p=3523"},"modified":"2014-01-14T12:49:57","modified_gmt":"2014-01-14T12:49:57","slug":"grading-the-internets-2014-tech-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icloud.pe\/blog\/grading-the-internets-2014-tech-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"Grading the Internet\u2019s 2014 Tech Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">The time is here for bloggers across the internet to make their tech predictions for 2014 and beyond (we have made some ourselves around <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.journeytothecloud.com\/storage-and-information-management\/10-storage-predictions-2014\/\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">storage<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.journeytothecloud.com\/cloud-computing\/5-cloud-predictions-2014\/\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">cloud<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">). In this post, a couple of our authors have weighed in to grade predictions made by others across the web. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\"><em>Prioritizing Management Tool Consolidation vs. New Acquisitions<\/em> <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Enterprise customers will want to invest in new tools only when necessary. They should look for solutions that can address several of their needs so that they do not have to acquire multiple tools and integrate them. The ability to cover multiple areas of management (performance, configuration and availability) to support multiple technologies (e.g., application tiers) and to operate across multiple platforms (Unix, Windows, virtual) will be important criteria for enterprises to assess what management tools will work for them. \u00a0(<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.eweek.com\/enterprise-apps\/slideshows\/vdi-in-2014-10-predictions-about-performance-user-experience.html\/\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">eweek<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Agree \u2013 I have been saying this for a while.\u00a0 If you want a new tool, get rid of 5 and consolidate and use what you have now or get one that really works. (Randy Becker)<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Bigger big data spending<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">IDC predicts spending of more than $14 billion on big data technologies and services or 30% growth year-over-year, \u201cas demand for big data analytics skills continues to outstrip supply.\u201d The cloud will play a bigger role with IDC predicting a race to develop cloud-based platforms capable of streaming data in real time. There will be increased use by enterprises of externally-sourced data and applications and \u201cdata brokers will proliferate.\u201d IDC predicts explosive growth in big data analytics services, with the number of providers to triple in three years. 2014 spending on these services will exceed $4.5 billion, growing by 21%. (<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/gilpress\/2013\/12\/03\/idc-top-10-technology-predictions-for-2014\/\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Forbes<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Absolutely agree with this.\u00a0 Companies of all sizes are constantly looking to garner more intelligence from the data they have.\u00a0 Even here at GreenPages we have our own big data issues and will continue to invest in these solutions to solve our own internal business needs. (Chris Ward)<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Enterprises Will Shift From Silo to Collaborative Management<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: medium;\">\u00a0In 2014, IT organizations will continue to feel increased pressure from their lines of business. Collaborative management will be a key theme, and organizations will be looking to provide a greater degree of performance visibility across their individual silo tiers to the help desk, so it is easier and faster to troubleshoot problems and identify the tier that is responsible for a problem. (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.eweek.com\/enterprise-apps\/slideshows\/vdi-in-2014-10-predictions-about-performance-user-experience.html\/\">eweek<\/a>) <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Agree \u2013 cross domain technology experts are key!\u00a0 (Randy Becker)<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\"><em>New IT Will Create New Opportunities<\/em> <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Mobility, bring-your-own device (BYOD) and virtual desktops will all continue to gain a foothold in the enterprise. The success of these new technologies will be closely tied to the performance that users can experience when using these technologies. Performance management will grow in importance in these areas, providing scope for innovation and new solutions in the areas of mobility management, VDI management and so on. (<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.eweek.com\/enterprise-apps\/slideshows\/vdi-in-2014-10-predictions-about-performance-user-experience.html\/\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">eweek<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Disagree \u2013 This is backwards. The business is driving change and accountability.\u00a0 It is not IT that creates new opportunities \u2013 it is the business demanding apps that work and perform for the people using them. (Randy Becker)<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Here comes the Internet of Things<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">By 2020, the Internet of Things will generate 30 billion autonomously connected end points and $8.9 trillion in revenues. IDC predicts that in 2014 we will see new partnerships among IT vendors, service providers, and semiconductor vendors that will address this market. Again, China will be a key player:\u00a0 The average Chinese home in 2030 will have 40\u201350 intelligent devices\/sensors, generating 200TB of data annually. (<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/gilpress\/2013\/12\/03\/idc-top-10-technology-predictions-for-2014\/\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Forbes<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Totally agree with this one.\u00a0 Everything and everybody is eventually going to be connected.\u00a0 I wish I were building a new home right now because there are so many cool things you can do by having numerous household items connected.\u00a0 I also love it because I know that in 10 years when my daughter turns 16 that I\u2019ll no doubt know in real-time where she is and what she is doing.\u00a0 However, I doubt she\u2019ll appreciate the \u2018coolness\u2019 of that.\u00a0 Although very cool, this concept does introduce some very real challenges around management of all of these devices.\u00a0 Think about 30 billion devices connected to the net\u2026.\u00a0 We might actually have to start learning about IPv6 soon\u2026 (Chris Ward)<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\"><em>Cloud service providers will increasingly drive the IT market<\/em> <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">As cloud-dedicated datacenters grow in number and importance, the market for server, storage, and networking components \u201cwill increasingly be driven by cloud service providers, who have traditionally favored highly componentized and commoditized designs.\u201d The incumbent IT hardware vendors will be forced to adopt a \u201ccloud-first\u201d strategy, IDC predicts. 25\u201330% of server shipments will go to datacenters managed by service providers, growing to 43% by 2017. (<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/gilpress\/2013\/12\/03\/idc-top-10-technology-predictions-for-2014\/\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Forbes<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Not sure I agree with this one for 2014 but I do agree with it in the longer term.\u00a0 As more and more applications\/systems get migrated to public cloud providers, that means less and less hardware\/software purchased directly from end user customers and thus more consolidation at the cloud providers.\u00a0 This could be a catch 22 for a lot of the traditional IT vendors like HP and Dell.\u00a0 When\u2019s the last time you walked into an Amazon or Google datacenter and saw racks and racks of HP or Dell gear?\u00a0 Probably not too recently as these providers tend to \u2018roll their own\u2019 from a hardware perspective.\u00a0 One thing is for sure\u2026this will get very interesting over the next 24 to 36 months\u2026 (Chris Ward)<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">End-User Experience Will Determine Success<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Businesses will expect IT to find problems before their users do, pinpoint the root cause of the problem and solve the problem as early as possible. IT organizations will seek solutions that will allow them to provide great user experience and productivity. (<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.eweek.com\/enterprise-apps\/slideshows\/vdi-in-2014-10-predictions-about-performance-user-experience.html\/\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">eweek<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Agree \u2013 100% on this one. Need a good POC and Pilot that is well managed with clear goals and objectives. (Randy Becker)<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Amazon (and possibly Google) to take on traditional IT suppliers<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Amazon Web Services\u2019 \u201cavalanche of platform-as-a-service offerings for developers and higher value services for businesses\u201d will force traditional IT suppliers to \u201curgently reconfigure themselves.\u201d Google, IDC predicts, will join in the fight, as it realizes \u201cit is at risk of being boxed out of a market where it should be vying for leadership.\u201d (<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/gilpress\/2013\/12\/03\/idc-top-10-technology-predictions-for-2014\/\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Forbes<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">I agree with this one to an extent.\u00a0 Amazon has certainly captured a good share of the market in two categories, developers and large scale-out applications and I see them continuing to have dominance in these 2 spaces.\u00a0 However, anyone who thinks that customers are forklift moving traditional production business applications from the <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.journeytothecloud.com\/miscellaneous-it\/moving-datacenter-directors-take\/\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">datacenter<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\"> to the public cloud\/Amazon should really get out in the field and talk to CIOs and IT admins as this simply isn\u2019t happening.\u00a0 I\u2019ve had numerous conversations with our own customers around this topic, and when you do the math it just doesn\u2019t make sense in most cases \u2013 assuming the customer has an existing investment in hardware\/software and some form of datacenter to house it.\u00a0 That said, where I have seen an uptake of Amazon and other public <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/response.greenpages.com\/CMaaSBlogWhitepaper\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">cloud<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\"> providers is from startups or companies that are being spun out of a larger parent. Bottom line, Amazon and others will absolutely compete with traditional IT suppliers, just not in a ubiquitous manner. (Chris Ward)<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">The digitization of all industries<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">By 2018, 1\/3 of share leaders in virtually all industries will be \u201cAmazoned\u201d by new and incumbent players. \u201cA key to competing in these disrupted and reinvented industries,\u201d IDC says, \u201cwill be to create industry-focused innovation platforms (like GE\u2019s Predix) that attract and enable large communities of innovators \u2013 dozens to hundreds will emerge in the next several years.\u201d Concomitant with this digitization of everything trend, \u201cthe IT buyer profile continues to shift to business executives. In 2014, and through 2017, IT spending by groups outside of IT departments will grow at more than 6% per year.\u201d (<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/gilpress\/2013\/12\/03\/idc-top-10-technology-predictions-for-2014\/\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">Forbes<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">I would have to agree with this one as well.\u00a0 The underlying message here is that IT spending decisions continue to shift away from IT and into the hands of the business.\u00a0 I have seen this happening more and more over the past couple of years and can\u2019t help but believe it will continue in that direction at a rapid pace. (Chris Ward)<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: medium;\">What do you think about these predictions? What about Chris and Randy\u2019s take on them?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>Download this <a href=\"http:\/\/response.greenpages.com\/ebookEvolutionOfITDepartment102013_Blog\">free eBook<\/a> about the evolution of the corporate IT department.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"feedflare\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/JourneyToTheCloud?a=k5pe7mwVtWQ:1DonPGy9Odo:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/JourneyToTheCloud?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/JourneyToTheCloud?a=k5pe7mwVtWQ:1DonPGy9Odo:-BTjWOF_DHI\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/JourneyToTheCloud?i=k5pe7mwVtWQ:1DonPGy9Odo:-BTjWOF_DHI\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/JourneyToTheCloud?a=k5pe7mwVtWQ:1DonPGy9Odo:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/JourneyToTheCloud?i=k5pe7mwVtWQ:1DonPGy9Odo:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/JourneyToTheCloud?a=k5pe7mwVtWQ:1DonPGy9Odo:qj6IDK7rITs\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/JourneyToTheCloud?d=qj6IDK7rITs\" border=\"0\"><\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/JourneyToTheCloud\/~4\/k5pe7mwVtWQ\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; The time is here for bloggers across the internet to make their tech predictions for 2014 and beyond (we have made some ourselves around storage and cloud). In this post, a couple of our authors have weighed in to grade predictions made by others across the web. Prioritizing Management Tool Consolidation vs. New Acquisitions&hellip;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.journeytothecloud.com\/miscellaneous-it\/grading-internets-2014-tech-predictions\/\">Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[285,156,372,179,181,524],"tags":[18],"class_list":["post-9986","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-applications","category-big-data","category-byod","category-featured","category-miscellaneous-it","category-public-cloud","tag-cloud"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/icloud.pe\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9986","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/icloud.pe\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/icloud.pe\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/icloud.pe\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/25"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/icloud.pe\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9986"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/icloud.pe\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9986\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/icloud.pe\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9986"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/icloud.pe\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9986"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/icloud.pe\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9986"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}